Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.468233 0.553811 0.649171 0.763101 0.895302 1.043653 1.222521
2024-12-22 0.325945 0.431778 0.562217 0.733966 0.953221 1.222735 1.577996
2024-12-29 0.261304 0.377269 0.531472 0.749725 1.048553 1.440915 1.992173
2025-01-05 0.217529 0.337585 0.507652 0.763137 1.133502 1.646388 2.404728
2025-01-12 0.180230 0.298421 0.475557 0.756055 1.183540 1.803551 2.761545
2025-01-19 0.152767 0.268316 0.450564 0.753139 1.235297 1.963804 3.133855
2025-01-26 0.137469 0.254527 0.447735 0.782203 1.336446 2.204272 3.645634
2025-02-02 0.134274 0.260257 0.476514 0.864565 1.529424 2.602429 4.435771
2025-02-09 0.122831 0.249346 0.475259 0.895457 1.639696 2.877313 5.051759
2025-02-16 0.107028 0.227702 0.451946 0.884358 1.676046 3.032316 5.481937
2025-02-23 0.091197 0.203334 0.420140 0.853391 1.672909 3.118321 5.800137
2025-03-02 0.077009 0.179871 0.386683 0.814694 1.650491 3.166900 6.054655
2025-03-09 0.072143 0.175721 0.391422 0.852014 1.777248 3.498452 6.852274
2025-03-16 0.061604 0.157365 0.364862 0.823796 1.775335 3.595461 7.233427
2025-03-23 0.056477 0.150428 0.361196 0.841846 1.866081 3.872847 7.972443
2025-03-30 0.051709 0.143487 0.356476 0.856840 1.951696 4.146970 8.726673
2025-04-06 0.045936 0.132994 0.342217 0.848964 1.988206 4.326845 9.310519
2025-04-13 0.041184 0.124248 0.330728 0.845719 2.033875 4.528228 9.952252
2025-04-20 0.038990 0.121969 0.334429 0.878071 2.160868 4.906679 10.982556
2025-04-27 0.040033 0.128877 0.361736 0.969698 2.429815 5.602979 12.720709
2025-05-04 0.037993 0.126598 0.365406 1.004046 2.570329 6.035938 13.935625
2025-05-11 0.034018 0.117856 0.351050 0.991706 2.600201 6.231228 14.657240
2025-05-18 0.029608 0.106901 0.329151 0.957271 2.573437 6.298760 15.105680